Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000547 0.000592 0.000639 0.000691 0.000747 0.000806 0.000873
2026-01-18 0.000486 0.000549 0.000618 0.000698 0.000788 0.000887 0.001004
2026-01-25 0.000438 0.000513 0.000597 0.000698 0.000817 0.000951 0.001116
2026-02-01 0.000394 0.000476 0.000570 0.000687 0.000828 0.000993 0.001202
2026-02-08 0.000360 0.000446 0.000548 0.000677 0.000839 0.001033 0.001284
2026-02-15 0.000331 0.000421 0.000529 0.000670 0.000849 0.001070 0.001362
2026-02-22 0.000308 0.000399 0.000512 0.000663 0.000858 0.001104 0.001438
2026-03-01 0.000287 0.000380 0.000497 0.000656 0.000866 0.001137 0.001511
2026-03-08 0.000267 0.000360 0.000479 0.000644 0.000867 0.001158 0.001569
2026-03-15 0.000250 0.000342 0.000464 0.000634 0.000869 0.001181 0.001629
2026-03-22 0.000232 0.000323 0.000445 0.000618 0.000861 0.001190 0.001669
2026-03-29 0.000218 0.000309 0.000431 0.000609 0.000862 0.001210 0.001725
2026-04-05 0.000207 0.000299 0.000424 0.000609 0.000878 0.001253 0.001820
2026-04-12 0.000198 0.000290 0.000418 0.000612 0.000896 0.001301 0.001924
2026-04-19 0.000188 0.000280 0.000410 0.000610 0.000909 0.001341 0.002018
2026-04-26 0.000176 0.000266 0.000397 0.000600 0.000908 0.001361 0.002082
2026-05-03 0.000166 0.000255 0.000385 0.000591 0.000909 0.001384 0.002152
2026-05-10 0.000157 0.000245 0.000375 0.000584 0.000912 0.001409 0.002225
2026-05-17 0.000149 0.000235 0.000366 0.000578 0.000916 0.001435 0.002300
2026-05-24 0.000142 0.000227 0.000357 0.000572 0.000919 0.001460 0.002375
2026-05-31 0.000134 0.000217 0.000346 0.000562 0.000914 0.001473 0.002430
2026-06-07 0.000127 0.000208 0.000336 0.000553 0.000913 0.001489 0.002491
2026-06-14 0.000119 0.000198 0.000324 0.000539 0.000902 0.001490 0.002525